WEST ST. PAUL, Minn.—Minnesota’s Second Congressional District inhabits two worlds.
At its northern end are the suburbs of Minneapolis and St. Paul, the Democrat-heavy Twin Cities. In the south, the district stretches 40 miles into rural Minnesota, where Republicans abound and precincts are deep shades of red.
The population is 75 percent white non-Hispanic, with a median age of 38 and an average income of $101,000 a year.
All of these characteristics make this district, once represented by Gov. Tim Walz, among the top competitive congressional races in 2024. The incumbent, Rep. Angie Craig (D-Minn.), was first elected in 2018 by a margin of 5.6 points. Her margin of victory in 2020 was slimmer at 2.3 points and in 2022 it was 5.3 points….